Nothing grabs the media’s attention like a good rivalry, just look at how the Clinton-Obama contest has helped the Democrats’ press coverage skyrocket past the GOP’s over the past few months. Over the past week, Romney has moved from third place to within one percentage point of John McCain in Florida media impressions. Strong poll numbers and a recent attack from John McCain have set a new rivalry in place and both candidates are benefiting.

Florida Media Impressions For GOP Candidates
Past 14 Days of Media Coverage

The perception of a tight race in Florida between McCain and Romney should help engage GOP primary voters. McCain’s strong national lead in traditional and social media impressions, on the other hand, indicates the strength McCain has heading into Super Tuesday on February 5th. If Romney wins in Florida, it could help to curb McCain’s media lead, while a McCain win could further increase the lead he already has.

Traditional and Social Media Impressions For GOP Candidates
Past 7 Days of Media Coverage

Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama continue to run a competitive race with 39 percent and 38 percent of all presidential election media impressions in Florida, respectively. While there are no delegates being awarded to the winner of the Democrat primary in Florida, Clinton has said she will campaign for a symbolic victory.

In a race where perception and reputation are everything, a symbolic win for Clinton could strengthen her position going into Super Tuesday.

Political candidates, companies and organizations all need to manage their reputations in the media. Perception can change quickly and without warning. Using traditional and social media analysis to understand your competitive position across regions and over time can give you the insight you need to know where and when your resources will have the greatest impact.

For more information on this topic, please see our related press release.

We’ve all heard arguments about whether or not there’s a liberal bias in the U.S. media. Politics aside, I think the one truth most of us could agree on is that there’s a media bias toward stories that generate readers (and stories that are easy to file, which is where good PR comes in). At Biz360, we wanted to know how European media coverage of U.S. presidential candidates compares to U.S. coverage and discovered that not only do Democrats get more coverage at home, but the top Democrats appear in 10 percent more of total candidate coverage in Europe.

The following charts show European and U.S. media coverage, respectively, for U.S. presidential candidates and hopefuls over the past 30 days.

You may have read recently that media analysis firm Cymfony was acquired by TNS Media Intelligence. On the heels of Nielsen’s acquisition of BuzzMetrics/Intelliseek last year and Forrester analyst Peter Kim’s recent report on the brand monitoring space, I believe this is further validation of our business and the growing need of companies to understand what their customers are saying about them, their competitors, their products and key trends driving the market. This event underscores the value that technology can bring to the rapidly changing environment of media analysis.

I agree with Peter Kim that the brand monitoring space is just starting to heat up. We are continuing to see the integration of traditional & social media analysis services with core marketing activities. Our partners, like LexisNexis, are also seeing an increase in the rate of adoption.

Biz360 will continue developing powerful metrics that help our clients accurately measure both traditional and social media as well as the relative weights of the various influencers. Our recently announced MediaSignal for blogs extends our weighted-reach metric for traditional media to a collection to over 32 million blogs. Combined with our tone analysis offering, Point-of-View Sentiment, which combines the best of human intelligence and automated technology, we’re able to provide clients with positive, neutral and negative impressions of their brands, spokespeople, messages, market issues, trends, etc. across print, online and broadcast news and social media.

As more companies adopt these services, I believe it is essential to be able to provide them with standardized metrics that can be applied across a variety of media types. Accurate and broad measurement of media coverage and tone analysis across traditional and social media formats is essential to the rapid adoption of brand analysis and monitoring services. It is also important that the metrics be easily comparable to other marketing metrics.

Recently, we brought on a new CMO, Tony Priore, to pave the way for more exciting product announcements this year. What kind of announcements? You’ll have to wait and see, but you can be sure we’ll make good use of our existing assets and continue to stay focused on increasing the efficiency of market intelligence.

Our experience shows that the line between what is traditional and what is social media will only become more confusing in the future. We are here to assist our clients in decoding this ever changing world of media.

The World Economic Forum Annual Meeting was held from January 24-28, 2007. Global warming and the potential for new talks on a world trade deal were the dominating issues. Media coverage varied from straightforward reports of the Forum’s events, to strong criticism saying that meeting of the world’s biggest leaders has become increasingly irrelevant.

The proposed resumption of the World Trade Organization talks dominated WEF coverage during the review period. Media coverage steadily increased, with a spike on January 26 when it was reported that British Prime Minister Tony Blair was hopeful the stalled global trade negotiation could resume soon, and Brazil’s president predicted a deal within months. Coverage spiked considerably on January 27 when officials announced they had agreed to resume the global free trade talks. While appearing to be positive news, a large portion of media coverage leaned toward the negative, implying that the probability of the talks actually resuming is still unlikely, that expectations were low, and the talk about restarting the global trade talks was, to a large extent, “hot air”.

The issue of global warming/climate change came in second in terms of media coverage, with coverage increasing just before the official start of the forum when President Bush acknowledged climate change in his January 23 State of the Union speech, and spiking on January 24 when German Chancellor Angela Merkel focused on climate change in her keynote speech. Coverage increased again on January 27 regarding an announcement of a partnership to standardize the reporting of climate risk-related issues. Media reaction to the announcements was mixed in tone; some positive reports commented on the constructive dialogue and potential solutions, others pointed out that no revolutionary strategies were developed and that Davos is the place to launch grandiose initiatives that never quite live up to their billing.

To read Biz360’s full report on the event and view analysis of the speakers and messages, please click here.

While it had a strong Nov. 14th launch, Microsoft’s Zune has failed to maintain the momentum it created that week. Information Week reported Tuesday that Zune had 9% of unit sales and 13% of revenue during its launch week, but that it was still far behind iPod sales, which accounted for 63% of unit sales and 72.5% of revenue that same week. Zune also failed to touch the iPod on Amazon’s top sellers list - it rarely made the list at all this holiday season.

The buzz Zune created in the market has been largely around its potential to be the ‘iPod killer.’ Zune rarely earned exclusive coverage and has been evaluated, in most news articles, based on how it compares to the industry-standard iPod. This is typical for a new entrant to a market with such an entrenched leader, but it means that establishing its own identity will take time. The chart below shows only a small blip of exclusive coverage for Zune (not shared with the iPod) during its launch week.

Microsoft will have to change the public’s concept of a portable media player to beat the iPod in the long run. But, in the short term, it will first have to prove that it’s an equal substitute. This may be why Microsoft officials have said they are satisfied with initial results of Zune sales that seem to only scratch the surface of the market.

Beating the iPod also means that Microsoft will have to beat iTunes. MediaPost covered a Hitwise report today showing a 413% increase in iTunes store visits on Christmas Day. This represented a 110% percent increase over the previous year and placed iTunes fourth on the Hitwise retail index. Zune Marketplace was nowhere to be found. This is likely due to the relatively low amount of coverage it received compared to iTunes.

Does this mean that Zune and Zune Marketplace are destined to meet the fate of others who have tried to knock Apple off its digital music throne? Not necessarily. But it does suggest that if it happens, it won’t be a quick hit, but rather a slow etching away of its market share. All of the players in the space lose points in eyes of consumers for issues like digital rights management (DRM) that limit the way someone can access and share music. Until one provider develops a digital music solution that allows anytime, anywhere access to music on consumers’ terms, the playing field could still change.

For more analysis on Microsoft Zune, please click here to visit our Industry Reports section.

Politics took center stage in U.S. news this week, thanks to mid-term elections. As expected, there was plenty of coverage in the mainstream media as well as blogs. Because bloggers commonly comment on news stories that they find interesting, a few sites that analyze blog content have become great resources for finding news about a given topic. My favorite free aggregator is currently Techmeme, which does a great job of surfacing the most-discussed technology stories online.

At Biz360, we monitor tens of millions of blogs—which gives us tons of data to mine. Because we also track thousands of mainstream media web sites, we’re able to track links between blogs and the media. In November so far, we’ve tracked 764,000 links from blogs to mainstream media web sites (and hundreds of thousands going the other direction as well). Analyzing the links enables us to surface some interesting nuggets, like this list of the most-linked news stories since November 1:

So why no articles on Democrats retaking Congress or Rumsfeld’s resignation? Even though these were two of the top topics in the news, they didn’t generate a definitive article that was linked to heavily by other writers. Because some of the stories developed over the course of multiple days, linking was diffused across different articles from many different sources.

The articles that did make this list span a number of different topics, but most of them share these common traits:

• Interestingness (a term coined by Flickr): the kinds of stories that spawn reactions and discussions.
• Authority: Many of the most-linked stories are based on exclusive reports or news scoops from trusted organizations. Half of the top 10 stories were from CNN, the third most-linked source after The New York Times and Washington Post.

Taken as a whole, online link analysis can be a valuable component of corporate early warning systems in market intelligence solutions like Market360. It’s important to know not only what’s being said, but also how far it’s being spread.

How many criminals does it take to steal McDonald’s brand? A trick question you say…

McDonald’s has built one of the world’s most durable brands around efficient, consistent and low-cost food. People save time and money going to McDonald’s - and they know what to expect from the experience. Of course, four men robbed a McDonald’s in Lauderdale Lakes, Florida, last Saturday by gunpoint providing an experience far beyond expectations. At other locations, you might have a McDrug Deal, get carjacked in the parking lot and or shot on your way home. The security at a high school in Philadelphia can monitor the McDonald’s across the street. Why? Because you might be shot at McDonald’s for showing disrespect (this one happened in London, so it’s not just us, but it may be Western culture’s own brand of extremism).

It’s not just in the news. Bloggers are talking about these things. So much, in fact, that blog posts on crime at McDonald’s outweighs conversations about its breakfast menu (there is some overlap though, like this blog post talking about someone who was run down in a McDonald’s parking lot after eating breakfast there).

Share of Key Issues and Messages for McDonald’s
3 Months of Blog Postings

And while analyzing the Blogosphere is a great way to get a sense of public discourse, there’s nothing better than good old-fashioned news media to pinpoint where the problem areas are (this may change soon, if geotagging takes off).

Top Publications Covering McDonald’s and Crime
3 Months of Media Coverage

But don’t expect local issues like crime to stay local. A local news attack at a Grand Prairie, Texas, McDonald’s was posted to You Tube where it was viewed 3,685 times in the four months between when it was posted (8/2/06) and when I checked it today. And it doesn’t stop there. Bloggers, like Dread Egos, post the You Tube video to their blog. A Google search for “McDonald’s” and “sucker punch” turns up 32,600 results. That’s not many compared to the 16,900,00 results that come up for McDonald’s, but “McDonald’s” and “crime” turns up 1,750,000 results (NOTE: the actual search results for McDonald’s, the company, would be less than a pure “McDonald’s” search and the content having to do with crime would be greater than the results from a simple “crime” keyword search).

Since McDonald’s is everywhere and crime is everywhere, you have to expect this is going to happen from time to time. But, is there any brand impact? And what could McDonald’s do about it? Knowing that it’s a topic of discussion greater than many of the products and messages being promoted is a big red flag that you might need to take action. Using local PR strategies to balance out negative perception is a good start, but in world connected by social media, that’s not enough. In the absence of a full-fledged corporate strategy to minimize crime at the stores, going beyond messaging to show some level of action is always ideal (in-store metal detector perhaps, remove shoes, toss liquids…).

I looked for some research on this topic and found a great article on the impact of corporate crimes, but not on the occurance of crimes during the brand experience. I’d like to conduct a study to find out what percentage of people who have experienced a crime at McDonald’s first hand will no longer eat there. Then ask the same question to people who heard about a crime from someone else? What’s the fall-off rate as you add more degrees of separation. You would have to take into account the number of times someone has heard about a crime, over what period of time and whether the negative impact was per location or at the brand level.

Ultimately, you could figure out the ripple effect of each crime and how many it would take to significantly impact McDonald’s brand. Then you could answer the question - how many criminals does it take to steal McDonald’s brand?

On August 15, 2006, a media flurry began when Dell announced it was recalling 4.1 million laptop batteries manufactured by Sony, the largest safety recall in the history of the consumer electronics industry. Overheating batteries have been causing laptops to catch fire or explode. The following week Apple recalled 1.8 million laptop batteries, also made by Sony.

Seeing two of the industry’s most polar-opposite brands pulled into the same debacle made us wonder how the media treatment would play out. We looked at the tone and visibility of Dell and Apple’s battery woe media coverage and noticed Dell had far more visibility and negative tone than Apple.

Media Coverage by Tone
Dell and Apple Battery Problems, August 2006

MediaSignal^TM is calculated by adjusting the reach number for each article based on how prominently the subject (Dell/Apple) is mentioned and then adding together the adjusted reach numbers for each company’s total base of news articles. This chart is based on 6,986 online, print and broadcast news articles for Dell and 5,270 for Apple. Green corresponds to positive MediaSignal, blue/gray to neutral and red to negative.

One reason for this discrepancy in tone is that Dell was first to recall the Sony batteries and in that initial burst of coverage, Apple came forward to say that it was looking into the matter and examining its own Sony laptop batteries. Was it Dell taking a proactive lead on critical safety issues? Engadget and other blogs had been following the saga laptop by laptop, calling it to Dell’s attention. If you take a look at discussion of Dell and battery problems in the Blogosphere, the writing may have been on the wall for awhile.

Newscycle Report
Blog vs. Media Coverage for Dell Battery Problems

The chart shows the media coverage in volume (blue) over time compared to blog posts (gray) over time for discussion of Dell and battery problems.

InfoWorld reported that Dell and Sony knew about the problem as far back as 10 months ago. According to one Slashdot comment, Dell registered www.dellbatteryprogram.com on 11/10/2005, possibly anticipating a recall. One thing is certain though - with upwards of 50 millions blogs containing the personal experiences of millions of people, there’s no need to wait for customers to come to you. Public information on the Internet is often a better source of data for understanding your customer’s experience with your product.

On July 13, 2006, Unilever launched their Sunsilk hair care brand in the U.S. with a twist – it’s using three gay men to sell the idea of “Hairapyâ€? (three hair products that act as therapy) to women in a $200 million marketing campaign. According to AdWeek, as much as 15 percent or $30 million of the ad budget is going to non-traditional media, such as mall displays with audio, a MySpace profile and 3-D displays in bars.

Unilever is no stranger to out-of-the-box thinking, its Dove brand “Real Beauty� campaign generated buzz in June 2006 with ads featuring “real� women instead of traditional models. What’s interesting is that the Real Beauty campaign is getting more media attention today, a year later, than the Sunsilk launch.

Media Coverage (% of Marketplace)
7/1/2006-8/23/2006

NOTE: This chart shows media coverage for Dove’s Real Beauty campaign (total = 48), Sunsilk (total = 42) and specific mentions of “Hairapy” (total = 10) from July 1, 2006 through August 23, 2006. The coverage is shown as a percentage of overall coverage for Dove, Pantene and Sunsilk combined and does not include mentions of the Sunsilk launch in recent Unilever earnings coverage.

Is the implication here that using real women to sell products to women gets a bigger reaction than using gay men? Not necessarily. The Dove press release is much more explicit about its approach than the Hairapy press release, which doesn’t outright say the spokesmen are gay (it uses phrases like “coming out party� to make the suggestion). In fact, words like “gay,� “queer� and “homosexual� appear in less than 20 percent of Sunsilk’s launch coverage, which suggests an equal amount of reluctance on the part of the media to state the obvious.

Sunsilk’s messaging was slightly different on its MySpace profile created for the launch – “Three gay guy girlfriends who give it to you straight.� Did Sunsilk lack the conviction to give it to the media “straight�? Maybe, but leaving the message open to interpretation for the broader media on a potentially hot-button issue, some of whom might disagree with the tactic, and delivering the overt message directly to your target audience through MySpace might just be smart marketing.

The MySpace crowd seems to agree. GetHairapy had 5,569 friends when I checked today. There’s also a higher percentage of discussion about Sunsilk among bloggers.

Blog Coverage (% of Marketplace)
7/1/2006-8/23/2006

NOTE: This chart shows blog posts for Sunsilk (total = 781), Dove’s Real Beauty campaign (total = 160) and specific mentions of “Hairapy” (total = 57) from July 1, 2006 through August 23, 2006. The posts are shown as a percentage of overall posts for Dove, Pantene and Sunsilk combined and does not include mentions of the Sunsilk launch in Unilever earnings discussions.

The branding of “Hairapy” on the other hand still needs a little work, but the message is clear - tailor your message to your audience. And then take that message directly to them.